How Meridian Works
What Meridian Does
Meridian runs an agentic GLM-5.1 research loop that gathers macro evidence, interprets prediction market pricing, and streams a cited investment brief while exposing every intermediate reasoning step.
How GLM-5.1 Is Used
The agent receives a strict tool schema, performs multi-step tool calls, and emits trace events for tool_call, tool_result, reasoning, and brief_delta before a final complete event.
Data Sources
| Source | Type | Description | Update |
|---|---|---|---|
| FRED | Macro series | Rates, inflation, labor, credit, and growth indicators. | Daily/Monthly |
| Kalshi | Prediction market | Binary macro contract probabilities and volume context. | Intraday |
| Polymarket | Prediction market | Complementary market pricing for cross-venue dislocation checks. | Intraday |
| SEC EDGAR | Filings | Company disclosures chunked for long-context reasoning. | Event-driven |
| News | Narrative context | Recent policy and macro headlines with sentiment tags. | Daily |
Fair-Value Model
Meridian converts relevant macro series into normalized signals, calibrates model probability with a simple Platt-style layer, and compares it against market-implied odds to rank dislocation magnitude.
Limitations
The model relies on historical relationships and fixture-backed demo data. Prediction markets can move faster than macro releases, and unexplained structural breaks can reduce model reliability.
Disclaimer
Meridian is a research system and does not provide financial, legal, or investment advice.